This first paper delves into the complexities of the US debt-to-GDP ratio, exploring its sustainability in the context of the United States’ unique position in the global financial architecture and geopolitical order. This research provides critical insights into how the US can maintain its economic stability and what the potential risks are if current trends continue. This publication is issued by the Pictet Research Institute.
Private equity investors have had a busy 1H. The US administration’s 2 April tariff announcement took investors by surprise, leading to a global equity markets selloff as trade war fears intensified. The subsequent rollback of the tariff announcement also surprised equity markets, which rallied significantly on news of a pause. As with the 2022 tech-led selloff, private equity tends to lag the public markets, but is not immune from a turbulent market.