All Argentina articles
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White papers
Argentina: how recent events shape the investment outlook
Recent update on Argentina: Government’s decision to freeze energy prices and suspend VAT on certain products will complicate fiscal metrics. The country is likely to miss the IMF target of a primary balance for 2019. However, the IMF could disburse the September tranche of financial assistance, although conviction levels are low.
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White papers
Argentina: election surprise amplifies market and political risks
Argentina’s primary elections: Opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez won by largerthan-expected margin against President Macri. At this point, markets price in Fernandez’s victory in October elections.
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White papers
Argentina: 5 Key Questions
The unexpected and shocking defeat of President Macri and his center-right party in the Argentine primaries on August 11 has led to a significant repricing of Argentina assets.
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White papers
Economic Crisis And Political Risk Batter Argentina. Way Out Or Opportunity?
The economy is facing severe stagflation. Monetary and fiscal policy are extremely tight, consumer and investor confidence is low, and inflation is proving very sticky amidst wage indexation. Whilst we view the fiscal and monetary mix to be appropriate given Argentina’s macro challenges, it is possible that these measures may not be able to stabilise the economy in time for the elections.
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White papers
EM Debt—A Brightening Picture?
Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re seeing from Mexico and Brazil to more challenged geographies like Turkey and Argentina—and provide insight into how they’re thinking about political hotspots like Venezuela.
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White papers
Argentina: Lingering Vulnerabilities in the Face of Uncertainty
PGIM Fixed Income describes how the volatility in Argentine markets developed, the uncertainties that lie ahead, and PGIM Fixed Income’s positioning across hard currency bonds, local debt, and FX.
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White papers
An Update on our Local Market Resilience Scores
In June 2016, we released Global Macro Shifts1 (issue 5) – Emerging Markets: Mapping the Opportunities [GMS-5]. This paper discussed many of the risks and opportunities across emerging markets while highlighting the importance of assessing economic resiliencies in individual countries. Since then we have seen notable rallies in emerging economies as capital has returned to a number of undervalued markets, particularly during 2017.
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White papers
Potential New Emerging Markets On The Block: Argentina, Saudi Arabia And Romania
As an active manager focused on the emerging markets (EM), Mirae Asset not only looks at the current EM universe, but also at leading economies within the frontier index with forthcoming prospects for inclusion into the EM benchmarks.
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White papers
Argentina: the ‘emerging’ emerging market
Despite not being upgraded to emerging market status this year, the outlook for Argentina remains positive.