White papers - all assets – Page 2
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White papers
Asian IT: the global AI enabler
The information-technology sector in Asia is entering a very exciting stage. Profound disruptive change powered by generative artificial intelligence could reshape the world in the next 10 years, and Asian IT is the enabler. Technology hardware is our main pick among sectors in 2024 and the topic of the second in our four-part series on Asian equities.
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White papers
Is employment at the heart of US economic growth?
Every economist fetishises their chosen leading indicator for the US economy – be it the ISM manufacturing index, capacity utilisation rate or new home sales. We cannot overstate the dangers of this habit and prefer to base our analysis on nowcasting indicators. But if there is one indicator that represents a syncretism of the economy, it is the labour market. This week, Simply put applies an economic theory linking employment conditions to GDP growth to estimate US output for 2024.
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White papers
CIO views: finding value through patient investing
How and where can patience reward investors? Over time, how could patient investors find better value? Across asset classes, our CIOs seek out areas they believe are underestimated or mispriced by the market and could offer superior prospects to investors adopting a long-term approach.
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Gold has been shining bright this year
”Expectations of a Fed pivot to cut rates likely drove the recent, sharp surge in gold. Now, geopolitical risks and concerns over lack of fiscal prudence from governments could support the demand for metals.”
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White papers
What if the Inflation Reduction Act were repealed?
The energy transition is a polarising US political issue. For the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which in 2022 approved an estimated USD 670 billion to boost domestic clean-energy production and manufacturing, the November 2024 federal election will undoubtedly impact its future and the funding it provides.
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White papers
The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
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White papers
The ABCs of Semiconductor Investing
Strategic shifts, global investments and the rise of AI mark a new era of growth and opportunity within the semiconductor sector.
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White papers
A sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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White papers
Markets heed data, not Fed Speak
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed’s constant blaring.
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Where next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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Private equity perspectives: Less capital, more opportunity
In a less-liquid world, many of the strategies that once worked in private equity will be less successful going forward. The shifting economic environment and the proliferation of AI are among the many dynamics that are opening new opportunities in the small- and mid-cap space.
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White papers
A common language for nature-related engagements
What do we mean when we talk about biodiversity? Hannah Naumoff explores the different nature-related terms that have sprouted in the wake of COP15, and why it’s important to be clear about their meaning when engaging with companies.
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White papers
Hard and local currency bonds provide different routes to returns
Emerging market (EM) bonds are increasingly becoming a strategic holding for many investors but a key consideration in this is the different attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad sets of investments available in the asset class — and understanding the benefits each can bring to a portfolio.
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White papers
Infrastructure Investor: Flight to quality over quantity
“Diversification is key as global and macroeconomic trends continue to boost returns across the infrastructure debt market.” - Victor Kozel, Head of Infrastructure Debt
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White papers
Confronting the ‘China bear’
Given China’s clouded economic outlook and the now deeply depressed ratios on Chinese equities, should investors remain negative on the Chinese market much longer? While it may be too early to become a ‘China bull’, recent domestic policy and geopolitical developments may start chasing away the ‘China bear’. So, what has changed?
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White papers
Costing the Earth: measuring corporations’ impact on biodiversity loss
Investors can no longer afford to ignore the devastating economic effects of biodiversity loss, but they need better tools to assess and manage the risks. We introduce the new scientific research by our academic partners at the MISTRA FinBio programme which should help guide investors.
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papers
6 questions concerning the weakness behind US resiliency
Do you see recent US data pointing to stubborn inflation? In January we had some upside surprises, encompassing import prices, producer prices, both headline and core CPI, and the PCE deflator. We think prices were in part boosted by seasonal factors which are not fully accounted for in the usual seasonal adjustment, something that also happened last year.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”