This series explores some of the key portfolio considerations of investing into infrastructure. Our first paper focused on the growing area of infrastructure debt. This paper, the second in our series, takes a closer look at how infrastructure returns might perform under various economic scenarios, and in particular in a rising interest rate environment. We use public and private infrastructure indices from 2004-2017 to help inform the analysis.
The all property total return for UK commercial real estate of 10.3% in 2017 exceeded even the most bullish forecast expectations from the start of the year, and by some margin.
In the early months of 2018, economic fundamentals are supportive of another solid year of real estate performance. But monetary conditions are tightening and our central preoccupation persists: how will this affect the risk premium for real estate?
April 30, 2011 – the day after the Royal Wedding. As the UK recovered from the street parties (and a fair few hangovers), Zara’s factory workers were just getting down to work. Kate Middleton stepped out for her first post-wedding photo shoot in a blue Zara dress launched earlier that year and, naturally, the garment sold out within 24 hours.
If any UK property market forecaster had stood up at the start of the year and predicted that in December we would be debating whether the market will quite hit double digit returns for the year, not even the most bullish observer would have taken them seriously.