The aging of the world’s population is well known and documented. The median age is set to rise to 32.1 in 2025 from 29.6 in 2015 according to United Nations projections.
There are gradual shifts in market conditions that may act as magnetic forces on the distant use, value and investment performance of commercial real estate and infrastructure assets.
Economic growth was strong during 2H17 and for the year as a whole. The year ended well with robust growth of 0.6% in 4Q17. GDP growth reached an exceptional decade high of 2.5% in 2017 and according to survey data, it seems the eurozone economy got off to a good start this year.
This series explores some of the key portfolio considerations of investing into infrastructure. Our first paper focused on the growing area of infrastructure debt. This paper, the second in our series, takes a closer look at how infrastructure returns might perform under various economic scenarios, and in particular in a rising interest rate environment. We use public and private infrastructure indices from 2004-2017 to help inform the analysis.
The all property total return for UK commercial real estate of 10.3% in 2017 exceeded even the most bullish forecast expectations from the start of the year, and by some margin.