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  • The "new normal" turned into the old normal: Our economic outlook for 2018 download

    White papers 4 December 2017

    In this year’s global economic outlook we examine the outlook for the United States and the rest of the world, ask if the coming fiscal stimulus in developed countries could boost this expansion even further, try to shed some light on how central bank attempts to normalize monetary policy might impact the stock market, and investigate the asset class implications of this cyclical upturn and of less-accommodative monetary policy.

  • Economic Insights: October 2017 download

    White papers 3 November 2017

    And the beat goes on: The world expansion rolls along. Surging confidence, rising capital spending, strong profit gains, and healthy demand generate a positive feedback loop that reinforces the robust growth, which should persist well into 2018.

  • 5G: The Foundation for a Hyper-Connected World download

    White papers 26 October 2017

    Principal is sparking an ongoing conversation on transformational technologies and their influence on our world.

  • Strategic Relative Value: Q4 2017 download

    White papers 26 October 2017

    A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.

  • A case for unconstrained emerging market debt download

    White papers 26 October 2017

    Emerging market debt represents a key source of income and risk diversification in a low-yield environment. Investment managers with the ability and expertise to navigate the diverse universe of EMD assets can offer their clients opportunities for attractive growth and capital gains.

  • Economic Insights: September 2017 download

    White papers 10 October 2017

    Global expansion stays on track: The global economic recovery that began in early 2016 has reached a self-sustaining velocity.

  • Economic Insights: July 2017 download

    White papers 18 August 2017

    Is this Goldilocks? Probably not, but it surely feels that way.

  • Strategic Relative Value: Q3 2017 download

    White papers 27 July 2017

    A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.

  • Economic Insights: June 2017 download

    White papers 14 July 2017

    The nine years since the summer of 2007 were anything but normal. There was a nearly constant stream of financial crises: emanating first from the United States, then the Eurozone, and then from China’s stock market meltdown and surprise devaluation.

  • Economic Insights: April 2017 download

    White papers 4 May 2017

    The free trade negotiations of the late 1980s and 90s that lowered world trade barriers plus the opening up of countries of the former Soviet Union in 1989 led to a massive, positive, global labor supply shock.

  • Interpreting the facts: Technology, populism, and the economy download

    White papers 4 May 2017

    Facts are facts.

  • Technology and retirement: Shifting opportunities download

    White papers 3 May 2017

    Technology has made it possible for us to live better, longer, more meaningful lives. And that’s cause for great optimism and positivity.

  • Technology, emerging markets, and the path to financial security download

    White papers 3 May 2017

    Just like the developed world, emerging markets populations are aging and looking for a secure retirement.

  • Talking down the U.S. dollar: A means to an (unsuccessful) end download

    White papers 21 March 2017

    Is it better to be weak or strong?

  • Economic Insights: February 2017 download

    White papers 10 March 2017

    Recession; it follows an expansion as the economy encounters constraints, inflation rises, and the Fed hikes interest rates. A recovery follows a recession and begins a new era of better growth, mild inflation, and stock market gains.

  • The nimble and the quick: Success in the future of asset management download

    White papers 23 February 2017

    Being nimble in the asset management industry means having the organizational agility to adjust to markets and client needs efficiently and cost effectively. For passive managers, scale and low fees will continue to be the point of competition. For active managers, clients will require access to a diverse set of niche asset classes to provide alpha atop their passive core portfolio’s beta exposure.

  • Active management can add big value in small-cap equities download

    White papers 23 February 2017

    While the value and effectiveness of active management has been debated among investors, consultants, advisors, and academics for some time, the growth and expansion of passive investment options including index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over the past decade has added a new twist to the discussion.

  • The owner-operator advantage download

    White papers 27 January 2017

    The first thing you notice about owner-operators, whether it’s a local restaurant owner or the head of a large corporation, is the passion they have for their business.

  • Why “skin in the game” may mean “out of the index” download

    White papers 27 January 2017

    Are you underweighted in companies with owner-operator CEOs?

  • Three reasons “big banks” are safe for the next five years download

    White papers 27 January 2017

    Since the fallout from the Global Financial Crisis, it has become somewhat of a game among financial pundits to predict the next crash, crisis, or Lehman-like bank failure that will send systemic shockwaves around the world.

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