Outlooks – Page 26
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Fasten your seatbelts
We summarise key dynamics at play in credit markets and explore how best to capitalise on the bumps that are creating the beginnings of another fertile special situations investment environment.
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Private credit – from niche to mainstream?
For more than a decade, both corporate and consumer borrowers benefited from low interest rates and a very low cost of capital. As the global economic backdrop continues to adjust to the activity of central banks and the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, investors are seeking ways to ensure that their portfolios are adequately positioned in order to meet their long-term risk and performance goals, write Jo Waldron and Karen Lam at M&G Investments.
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Private debt: aligning investment needs with the means to deliver
An asset class that is now a core part of institutional portfolios, Mercer’s Private Debt offering combines expertise and opportunities to deliver amid a complex macro environment
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Global Investment Views - March 2023
“The dichotomy between the real economy and markets is increasing even as the earnings outlook is getting weak, leading us to be sceptical of the risk rally.”
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The soaraway rebound of global tourism
Global air traffic forecast to reach pre-Covid levels this year, boosted by the reopening of China.
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Tractor Beams: Satellite Tech and Precision Agriculture
As the global population increases and with more mouths to feed, could the answer to food insecurity lie in space?
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Eliminating the Improbable
With a fresh surge of inflation increasingly unlikely, the market outlook is far better than it was a year ago.
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Latin American Equities: More Than Meets the Eye
Despite the uncertain global macro backdrop, the combination of long-term structural trends and attractive current valuations is presenting a compelling opportunity in Latin American equities.
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Understanding scope 3: How responsible investors can wrestle with the unruliest of emissions
On one level, it is easy to understand the scale of emissions from a company’s operations. If a factory is pumping out millions of plastic widgets, we can measure the greenhouse gases (GHGs) produced as it does so, and the emissions linked to the energy used to make them. However, things can get a little murkier when we look up or down the value chain, perhaps at the customers putting their shiny new widget to use in the real world.
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Responsible Investment Quarterly Q4 2022
2022 was a difficult year with multiple crises, most of which have had both short- and long-term implications for our responsible investment themes: a geopolitical conflict, hyperinflation in energy prices, the lingering effects of the pandemic, and talent turnover
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AI Chatbots Rewrite Code for Technology Sector’s Future
ChatGPT has ignited the world’s imagination about the power of artificial intelligence (AI). As science fiction is transformed into applications with real business potential, we may be on the cusp of a new product cycle that breathes new life into the technology sector after a harsh year for investors.
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Prospects for Chinese consumers: 2023 and beyond
To ensure future prosperity, China’s economy needs to evolve into one driven by consumption. The country can no longer rely on the low-cost manufacturing that drove its phenomenal growth in recent decades. The Q1 issue of Futureturns, our quarterly report on thematics and trends in equity markets, explores the outlook for China’s consumer transition. Is it still on track?
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A year of war in Ukraine: accelerating the energy transition and fragmentation
The West’s recent decision to send battle tanks to Ukraine to counteract a renewed Russian offensive increases the risk of a direct escalation with the West, while the likelihood of a protracted war remains somewhat higher. At the same time, most modern conflicts end in negotiations when both sides are sufficiently exhausted, and we consider the possibility of a ceasefire towards the end of 2023 and heading into 2024 is currently underappreciated.
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Hard or soft landing? Macro adaptation in multi asset
Is the worst over? Some investors remain unconvinced, while others are animated by animal spirits as macro data and policy action stoke expectations that markets can rise from the ashes of 2022.
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Will China grow old before it grows rich?
China aims to become a high-income country. Can the world’s second largest economy achieve this without the favourable demographic tailwinds that helped shape the preceding four decades?
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Mixed messages. Messy markets.
When macroeconomic data give mixed messages about the path ahead, markets are bound to become more challenging. That could be a good opportunity for using volatility to position for an eventual recovery.
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Why Securitized & Why Now: $12.5 Trillion Market Goes on Sale
Today’s securitized market presents a rare opportunity to add diversification via an asset class with the potential to provide defensive opportunities with outsized returns.
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ESG Viewpoint: Banking on biodiversity
Biodiversity loss - why it is material and relevant for banks
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Multi-asset Allocation Views: The mood music changes
The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team continue to anticipate that the cumulative effect of monetary policy tightening will have a dampening effect on economic activity.
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ETF: The China equity rally is not over yet
Chinese equities have staged an impressive comeback since hitting multi-year-lows during the third quarter last year.