Outlooks – Page 25
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White papersJittery markets fear return of bigger rate rises
Markets have begun to price in a 50bps rate rise by the Fed in March but are awaiting key economic data which will reveal if the US economy has started to slow.
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White papersHow dangerous are 0DTE options?
The tell-tale signs are present: high trading volumes, retail investor buy-in and bloggers competing with Wall Street technicians for airtime. Is the craze for 0DTE – zero-day-to-expiry – options fomenting a meltdown on the scale of 2018’s ‘Volmageddon’?
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White papersESG Viewpoint: The challenges of realising zero-carbon cement
Can cement emissions be curbed, while still allowing for crucial infrastructure growth?
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White papersFrom Traditional to Sustainable Growth
This article is a 360-degree analysis of the growth investment concept. Academics generally circumscribed it to a mere anti-value status. We show that growth-oriented stocks not only present the characteristic of being expensive and over-priced.
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White papersAre Cheap Burgers in Emerging Markets a Good Sign for Investors?
Investors in emerging markets (EM) have endured a decade of poor performance. But things may be changing. Based on The Economist magazine’s data comparing hamburger prices across countries, many EM currencies look cheap today—as they did 20 years ago before an extended rally of EM stocks and bonds.
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White papersAre equities attractive now?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we run different scenarios on equity pricing in the current environment.
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White papersNearshoring opportunities brighten Mexico’s outlook
As companies look to relocate business operations closer to home, Mexico’s close proximity to the US suggest the central American country will benefit significantly from this shift.
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White papersEuropean equities are favoured in a fragile earnings outlook
“The greater resilience of profits enabled the European market to remain cheaper than the US one.”
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White papersUkraine: one year on but no end in sight
After 12 months of fighting further action is needed from the west to prevent a balance-of-payments crisis and to support the reconstruction costs faced by Ukraine
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White papersRoving recession to staggered recovery?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersCIO views: a new era of finding alpha
Uncertainty from higher interest rates, mixed data and geopolitical risk is fuelling more volatility. How is active management even more relevant in the current context? Are the former winners gone? Is this a new era of finding alpha?
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White papersStagflation Haze
The world is grappling with a combination of once in a generation shocks, producing an uncertain and complex economic landscape.
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White papersEquity-bond correlations: was 2022 an outlier?
Should we be shocked? Negative equity and bond returns in 2022 provided further evidence that annual performance by the asset classes is not as uncorrelated as commonly believed. How frequently do these so-called ‘outlier’ years occur, and how can investors with long-beta portfolios be better prepared?
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White papersAhead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Read the latest views from our Chief Economist Silvia Dall’Angelo as she outlines three scenarios that could influence markets in the coming months.
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White papersTime Series Forecasting with Transformer Models and application for Asset Management
Since its introduction in 2017 (Vaswani et al., 2017), the Transformer model has excelled in a wide range of tasks involving natural language processing and computer vision.
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White papersPensions Watch | Issue 24: What’s been happening and what’s on the Horizon in the world of pensions
With the inexorable rise of Defined Contribution (DC) schemes and the continued closure of Defined Benefit (DB) schemes to new members and future accrual, suggestions that DB is dead are ever present. However, with funded DB schemes accounting for around 80% of UK pension assets, most of which are not going to buyout just yet, DB is very much alive and kicking.
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White papersCOP 27: outcomes, opportunities and emerging markets
The expectations for COP 27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, were lower than for the landmark COP 26 in Glasgow in late 2021. And although world leaders at COP 27 reaffirmed their commitments to expanding clean energy deployment – despite the near-term energy crisis caused by the Ukraine conflict – they did not deliver much action on climate change.
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White papersDecarbonising the built environment - Aviva Investors
We assess the financial and environmental pros and cons of developing new buildings versus retrofitting old ones.
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White papersBiodiversity: why investors should care
The past 30 years have seen a bigger improvement in human prosperity than all of the past centuries combined.
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White papersAdding thematic equities to diversified portfolios
Once considered niche, thematic equities have in recent years evolved into mainstream investments. Their ability to transform broad, long-term macro-economic, technological and environmental trends into investments has struck a chord with a growing circle of investors. Even so, questions remain over how to incorporate such stocks within portfolios that use traditional asset allocation frameworks. We propose three broad approaches where investors can incorporate thematic equities in their diversified portfolios.
