Outlooks – Page 17
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Engine Running, Shifting to Neutral
In the face of conflicting signals from our short- and medium-term outlooks, our Asset Allocation Committee is adopting more neutral views.
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How technological transformation is shaping Asia’s future
The hype surrounding advanced technology has reached fever pitch, from the latest breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI), to the new Apple headset which some believe could revolutionise the virtual experience and take the metaverse mainstream.
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From Climate Stress Testing to Climate Value-at-Risk: A Stochastic Approach
This paper proposes a comprehensive climate stress testing approach to measure the impact of transition risk on investment portfolios. Unlike most climate stress testing models, which are designed for the banking industry and follow a top-down approach, our framework considers a bottom-up approach and is mainly relevant for the asset management industry.
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Global Macro Outlook - Third Quarter 2023
Steadfast global resilience to recession highlighted the quarter, although the outlook hasn’t necessarily improved. But with labor markets tight and wages keeping pace with inflation, consumers are navigating the economy’s rough patches. Still, we expect growth to slow in time.
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Fixed-Income Midyear Outlook: Surfing Lessons
Surf’s up! Elevated yields and negative correlations are good news for bond investors. We share strategies for making the most of today’s opportunities.
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Going Back to Base
In the face of conflicting signals from our short- and medium-term outlooks, our Asset Allocation Committee is adopting more neutral views.
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Global Investment Views - July 2023
Equities have been boosted by optimism relating to slowing inflation and stable economic data recently In the US, a large chunk of these gains came from the mega tech stocks, including the ones led by the AI wave.
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Mid-year 2023 outlook: Time to engage more fully
In this Global Investment Outlook, we focus on the attractiveness of investments beyond cash including fixed income, equities and alternatives. Our investment teams provide useful exhibits to discuss opportunities for the rest of the year.
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Geopolitical shifts and investment implications
Geopolitical risks are here to stay
Russia’s incursion into Ukraine and the great power rivalry between the US and China have catapulted investors into a new reality of constant and increasing geopolitical risks. -
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Retail Investors’ Behaviour in the Digital Age: How Digitalisation is Impacting Investment Decisions
“Most people are prone to investment biases, do not diversify enough and fail to rebalance their portfolios. Robo-advisors have helped retail investors in this task. We have shown that improved diversification and rebalancing greatly enhances their performance.”
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Private Markets Outlook: New ideas for a new regime
The end of the easy money era requires new approaches to private market investing. We reveal the key risks and opportunities across major private market asset classes and the critical investment implications to consider to prosper in this new market landscape.
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Emerging Markets: Navigating Opportunities From Generative AI
Emerging markets offer unique opportunities and challenges for investors seeking exposure to Generative AI.
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Secular Outlook 2023 - Asset class return forecasts for the next five years
Securing single-digit annual returns from a diversified portfolio could prove an unusually complex task in the next five years, largely because of volatile inflation and more muscular state intervention.
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Unrest in Russia: Stay calm, invest on
Four of Allspring’s investment leaders provide their insights on Russia’s current instability and the situation’s potential impacts on asset classes.
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2023 Mid-Year Investment Perspectives
Financial markets have been surprisingly resilient this year, despite stubborn inflation, further rate hikes and bank failures. As we move into the second half of 2023, the impact of higher interest rates and the uncertain economic backdrop are likely to remain key concerns for investors.
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2023 Midyear Outlook report
As we reach the midpoint of 2023, global markets have shifted from binary to balanced, from either/or investment choices to a much broader set of opportunities − which is good news for active investors.
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Mid-year outlook 2023: macroeconomic and financial market forecasts
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 13 June 2023
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Mid-year outlook 2023: investment convictions
Caution in equities is still required while Fed rates plateau. Market performance between when the Fed stops raising rates and the first cut could be positive or negative, depending on economic conditions.
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Mid-year outlook 2023: global themes
Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and the United States. Even though inflation is still well above central bank targets, markets expect policy rates to be near their peaks. As central banks retain credibility, most measures of inflation expectations remain anchored.
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Mid-year outlook 2023: key convictions for H2 2023
“Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass for navigating this phase.”