Fixed Income – Page 24
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White papersThe corporate bond is back
We believe that corporate bond yields are close to an inflection point, with the high levels of yields achievable providing a buffer to further yield rises. In short – the corporate bond is back.
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White papersThe pursuit of consistent income streams
Generating income is a key role of fixed income. For investors, the durability of income streams becomes more important amid heightened volatility in both equity and bond markets.
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White papersHow Long Will 75bps Stay in Vogue?
After an initial dovish reading of the FOMC statement, Jay Powell’s tone was firmly hawkish and led to a reversal in risk sentiment and a higher market-implied terminal rate. While the BoE also hiked 75bps, the bank signaled a lower endpoint. All eyes are on inflation data next week.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - November 2022
We maintain the probabilities of our scenarios unchanged. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced-in by markets.
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White papersFor the Fed, the impossible QT
The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation. However, QT is being challenged by the Fed’s new role as a counterparty of money-market funds. The process would be greatly improved if the Treasury were to announce a debt buyback financed ...
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White papersHow the ECB’s climate tilt favours ice cubes
The European Central Bank is gradually decarbonising its corporate bond holdings in a move that will be beneficial to borrowers with clear net-zero targets. We expect increased spread differentiation between transition leaders and transition laggards, and consider how the design of our TargetNetZero strategy is well-positioned to capture the opportunities.
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White papers1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot
As widely expected, on 2 November, the Federal Reserve hiked the Federal Funds rate by 75bp, to 3.75-4.00%. The action marked the fourth consecutive 75bp rate hike this year. Investors initially interpreted the accompanying statement as dovish by selling the dollar and buying US Treasuries and equities.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2022
We reiterate the main driver affecting the current and forward-looking macro environments is a combination of sustained inflation, mounting recession fears and geopolitical developments. Price stability has become the paramount goal and even more complicated to reach, therefore CBs will make sure high inflation will not be entrenched in economic agents’ long-term expectations.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2022
Tightening monetary policy and slowing economic growth lead us to keep a cautious stance on risk assets, in light of potential liquidity and refinancing issues, particularly in low quality credit. We prefer US IG (over HY) segments and selectively like EM hard currency debt.
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White papersBonds that build back better
Some might argue that building a sustainable economy is a technological problem. It isn’t. The world is sufficiently stocked with greenhouse gas-reducing technologies such as renewable fuels, carbon capture and energy storage. What it lacks is capital.
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White papersRecession watch: triggers, outlook and what next for central banks
While recession risk is clearly elevated around the world, they are notoriously hard to predict with any accuracy, in terms of timing, duration or impact.
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White papersNobody Ever Got Fired for Buying Senior Credit
“Nobody ever got fired for buying IBM,” is a saying that’s been floating around investor circles for decades. The now-legendary catchphrase has been used to imply that IBM was the ultimate safe bet for investors. Likewise, if private markets had a catchy sound bite today, it would have to be, “Nobody ever got fired for buying senior credit.”
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White papersUnearthing opportunities in Asian credit markets
2022 has been a challenging year for fixed income, with global investment grade bonds down 14% over the past 12 months. Investment grade corporate bonds in Asia have outpaced US and global bonds, mainly due to their shorter duration.
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White papersNavigating dark clouds across emerging markets debt
It has been an unrelenting year of negative headlines, with a war in Ukraine, inflation concerns and recession fears jolting investors into a frenzy. Capital Group Investment Director David Cheng sat down with Portfolio Manager Luis Freitas de Oliveira to discuss his thoughts on the challenging macro backdrop, the investment implications for emerging markets debt (EMD) and how, in his view, the asset class remains investable amid the growing headwinds.
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White papersIG Credit: Strong Fundamentals, But Inflationary Pressures Grow
Current yield and spread levels, coupled with companies’ durable credit profiles, suggest that IG corporate credit continues to look attractive—but a number of risks remain on the horizon.
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White papersHigh Yield: Value on Offer, But Stormy Seas Ahead
While there are signs that volatility will likely continue in high yield through the coming months, this environment, ultimately, may prove to be a significant opportunity for value creation.
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White papersESG investing in EM debt: enhancing sustainable development outcomes
Today’s financial markets are at an extraordinary juncture, grappling with persistently high inflation, war in Eastern Europe, global climate change and the ongoing and severe effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Against this backdrop, fixed income investors are increasingly seeking to generate financial returns while building portfolios that support positive outcomes through environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing.
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White papersInflation still stubbornly high despite central bank hikes
Eurozone inflation reached 9.9% in September while UK consumer prices hit 10.1% amid rising food costs.
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White papersSchooling the Sovereigns
Bond markets appear to be disciplining policy inconsistencies, both within sovereigns and among them.
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White papersDistressed debt in a developing recessionary environment
High inflation is being fuelled by supply chain disruption caused by the pandemic, high energy prices caused by the war in Ukraine and high employment. High inflation is forcing Central Banks to aggressively increase interest rates.
