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Boston - Emerging markets held a relief rally in the wake of the much-anticipated meeting over the weekend between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 meeting in Buenos Aires. By agreeing to a 90-day truce in their ongoing trade war, the two leaders gave EM investors the best they could realistically hope for.
The impressive, broad-based equity market gains of 2017 have extended to every country in the world, buoyed by modest but positive global economic growth and continued support from central banks.
Donald Trump’s surprising victory was a game changer for the markets. His election sparked the kind of change in investor psychology that we have not witnessed since the end of the financial crisis.
I often think of consumer spending and industrial production as the yin and yang of the U.S. economy. In the years since the financial crisis, I am struck by the juxtaposition of the resilience of the consumer against the weakness on the industrial and manufacturing side of the economy.