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  • Responsible Investment Quarterly download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    The contents of this issue, covers Q4 2018. Foreword from Iain Richards, Head of Responsible Investment Portfolio Manager Viewpoint – Investing for a changing world: a sustainable equities outlook, by Pauline Grange, Portfolio Manager, and Rose Beale, Thematic Analyst. A new age of infrastructure, by Ingrid Edmund, Senior Portfolio Manager Airports flying high: a social perspective, by Ben Kelly, Senior Thematic Analyst SASB update: codification of ...

  • Responsible Investment: From confusion to concrete data download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Today’s investors don’t need to be convinced of the need to integrate Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors to manage risk and optimise performance. Indeed, many also want to assess, understand and measure the wider implications of their investment choices.

  • What rapidly ageing populations mean for investors download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    This issue will not just affect older people – all of society will be impacted by a shrinking workforce and a dominant older demographic.

  • Valuations, BBBs And Policy Change - European Investment Grade Outlook | March 2019 download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Companies in most developed market economies have enjoyed years of super-low borrowing costs The European IG market has increased in size from a face value of around €800 billion in 2005 to more than €2.1 trillion by the end of January But what might happen to companies were borrowing costs to return to levels many of us considered to be normal only a few years ago...

  • Southeast Asia poised to gain from trade wars download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Domestic manufacturers in Southeast Asia are likely winners in the trade war and from a trend among multinationals towards reducing dependence on China.

  • Risk-on for Southeast Asian bond markets download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Local currency debt markets in Southeast Asia have enjoyed a sharp turnaround in fortunes and their upward momentum is supported by improving economic trends.

  • New technology is reshaping Asia beyond China download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Innovation is rapidly transforming the economies of Southeast Asia and the behaviour of its young and increasingly wealthy populations.

  • Multinationals race to tap Asia’s conspicuous consumers download

    White papers 19 March 2019

    Western corporations are well placed to profit from Asia’s rapidly growing consumer wealth.

  • Japan’s strengthening fundamentals go unnoticed download

    White papers 19 March 2019

    Global investors underappreciate the changing behaviour of Japanese companies, which has made them more resilient and well positioned to benefit from global reflation.

  • European equities: targeting positive returns in an uncertain climate download

    White papers 19 March 2019

    A decade after the financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in are starving Europe’s investors of returns.

  • In Credit - Life in the slow lane download

    White papers 18 March 2019

    Government bonds remain supported by evidence of a slowing in the global economy. This was reflected in the decline in Machine Tool Orders in Japan (See chart of the week), which were lower by 29% on an annual basis at the most recent reading. The US market outperformed last week with yields falling by 4bps for 10-year bonds.

  • Where Are We In The Brexit Process? download

    White papers 11 March 2019

    Despite the rapidly approaching deadline for the UK leaving the European Union, much remains up in the air. Trying to gauge the long-term economic impact is difficult, but we are seeking to minimise unwanted risk in our portfolios.

  • Chinese consumers: your country needs you download

    White papers 27 February 2019

    Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing...

  • How Airports Are Flying High: A Social Perspective download

    White papers 21 February 2019

    Holding airport bonds in our social strategies often raises questions. But aviation brings huge social and economic benefits, and is making great environmental strides...

  • Asset Allocation Update - Much ado about equities and credit download

    White papers 21 February 2019

    Equities and corporate bonds often do well together. Over the past 20 years the “beta coefficient” between credit to equities has been 0.5 in both the US and Europe; that is to say, for every 1% rise (or fall) in equity prices, credit markets have tended to return (or weaken) 0.5%.

  • Normalising economies may mean moderate returns download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when extraordinarily loose monetary policy has boosted asset prices.

  • Global equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’ download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?

  • Asian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.

  • A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.

  • Fixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.

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