Columbia Threadneedle Investments

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  • Asset Allocation Update - July 2019 download

    White papers 24 July 2019

    After sharp drawdowns towards the end of 2018 stock markets are re-approaching their all-time highs. This is despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Gulf, the risks of a disorderly Brexit, softening economic data, and professional company analysts cutting their profit forecasts for stocks in every major market. All this, along with simmering trade tensions between the United States and almost every other country in the world.

  • Responsible Investment Quarterly Q4 2018 download

    White papers 30 May 2019

    Cloud computing, machine learning and the potential of the, as yet, relatively untapped field of data science have been rapidly rising up the agenda of the investment world. In an industry that is undergoing seismic changes, the capabilities, reach and efficiencies that data science innovation offers have potential to play an important role...

  • Two quarters of turbulence: what the pre-Christmas plunge and new year rebound say about markets download

    White papers 30 May 2019

    World equity indices plunged during Q4 last year before staging a powerful recovery, regaining virtually all the ground they had lost. This extraordinary turn of events may look irrational, but it tells a coherent story about the fragility of investor confidence as we navigate the end of this economic cycle and approach the US elections in 2020...

  • Threadneedle (Lux) European Social Bond Fund - Annual Social Impact Report download

    White papers 30 May 2019

    The Fund, the first of its kind in Europe, aims to deliver both a financial and a social return by investing in corporate bonds across Europe. It has a clear focus on supporting positive outcomes for individuals, communities or society as a whole.

  • Some great companies and attractive valuations offer opportunities in Europe download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Following strong performance in 2017, European markets retreated in 2018 – a sell-off that was markedly similar to the 2015-16 downturn, when industrials, miners, banks, commodities and emerging markets plummeted by 30% or more...

  • Riding the shared economy wave download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Pioneers of peer-to-peer economies such as Uber and Airbnb are changing consumer behaviours and disrupting industries from travel to finance. There will be winners and losers...

  • Lessons from a decade of bank bailouts download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Both the US and the UK moved fast to clean up bank balance sheets – Europe, however, delayed and so will face the next downturn from a weaker position...

  • Europe’s ‘shrinking state’ offers investor opportunities download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Private sector efficiency can result in a good deal for both the public and investors...

  • Brexit And UK Defined Benefit Funding download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Immediately following the EU referendum, financial markets downgraded medium-term growth expectations for the UK. Sterling weakened, long-dated government bond yields fell, and UK equity assets fell relative to international equities. Two-and-a- half years on we can see that this weakness has not unwound.

  • Responsible Investment Quarterly download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    The contents of this issue, covers Q4 2018. Foreword from Iain Richards, Head of Responsible Investment Portfolio Manager Viewpoint – Investing for a changing world: a sustainable equities outlook, by Pauline Grange, Portfolio Manager, and Rose Beale, Thematic Analyst. A new age of infrastructure, by Ingrid Edmund, Senior Portfolio Manager Airports flying high: a social perspective, by Ben Kelly, Senior Thematic Analyst SASB update: codification of ...

  • What rapidly ageing populations mean for investors download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    This issue will not just affect older people – all of society will be impacted by a shrinking workforce and a dominant older demographic.

  • Southeast Asia poised to gain from trade wars download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Domestic manufacturers in Southeast Asia are likely winners in the trade war and from a trend among multinationals towards reducing dependence on China.

  • New technology is reshaping Asia beyond China download

    White papers 20 March 2019

    Innovation is rapidly transforming the economies of Southeast Asia and the behaviour of its young and increasingly wealthy populations.

  • European equities: targeting positive returns in an uncertain climate download

    White papers 19 March 2019

    A decade after the financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in are starving Europe’s investors of returns.

  • In Credit - Life in the slow lane download

    White papers 18 March 2019

    Government bonds remain supported by evidence of a slowing in the global economy. This was reflected in the decline in Machine Tool Orders in Japan (See chart of the week), which were lower by 29% on an annual basis at the most recent reading. The US market outperformed last week with yields falling by 4bps for 10-year bonds.

  • Chinese consumers: your country needs you download

    White papers 27 February 2019

    Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing...

  • How Airports Are Flying High: A Social Perspective download

    White papers 21 February 2019

    Holding airport bonds in our social strategies often raises questions. But aviation brings huge social and economic benefits, and is making great environmental strides...

  • Normalising economies may mean moderate returns download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when extraordinarily loose monetary policy has boosted asset prices.

  • Global equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’ download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?

  • Asian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.

  • A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.

  • Fixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.

  • Finding opportunity in Europe’s volatility download

    White papers 11 January 2019

    Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.

  • It’s all eyes on trade for 2019 download

    White papers 10 January 2019

    There has been a significant de-rating of equities over what has been a disappointing 2018.

  • Redefining the cycle – 2019 CIO outlook download

    White papers 10 January 2019

    We have already had the longest bull market in history and a very long upswing, so this cycle is clearly nearing its end, but we do not believe the end is imminent – rather the cycle is being extended and redefined by a combination of structural factors leading to low interest rates, low inflation and ongoing moderate growth.

  • US mid-term elections – an investor’s view download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    A Q&A with the Head of US Equities, EMEA, which discusses the significance of the forthcoming US mid-terms, Nadia’s outlook for the US economy and market, and how our portfolios are positioned in light of this.

  • Disruptive technologies challenge traditional infrastructure approach download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    Traditional infrastructure investments are being challenged by the pace of innovation, and technology and disruption will likely create opportunities across all core infrastructure asset types. So a highly flexible approach is required to respond to this.

  • Q&A – the credit cycle and interest rates download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    The Head of Investment Grade Credit, EMEA, gives his thoughts on where we are in the credit cycle, what will happen to interest rates, and his expectations for the future and how President Trump might influence this.

  • Competitive advantage takes centre stage download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    Technology firms previously enjoyed three to five years of competitive advantage, but today’s sector is a different beast.

  • Shopping for high-quality industrial property download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    After a year of strong returns, industrial property is in vogue with investors.

  • US smaller companies may shine as rates rise download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    Historically, when Treasury yields rise US smaller companies tend to outperform their large company counterparts – and we could just be entering such a period.

  • Divided we stand...? download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    US yields finished marginally lower after being on the higher side for much of the week.

  • Asset Allocation Update: The three tensions grabbing investor attention download

    White papers 15 November 2018

    Much of October was a brutal month for financial assets.

  • Social momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.

  • In Credit: The sun shines on Brazil? download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.

  • Expect a rise in volatility from a ‘no-deal’ Brexit download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Amid growing speculation that the UK could be heading towards a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, market watchers agree that this would be disruptive for UK markets. But the impact on European markets is likely to be more varied.

  • Italy would have better prospects in a new financial crisis download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Credit agency Cerved predicts the country is better placed to withstand a crisis than it was in 2008, with the pharmaceutical, tech and supermarket stocks looking most resilient.

  • Italy’s outlook clouded by populist policies download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    While the new government’s economic policies appear expansionary, a lack of clarity over how they will be paid for means investors may face turbulent months ahead.

  • Reinvigorating the Mittelstand download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Germany’s small- and medium-sized companies have been at the core of its economic success story, but now their fortunes depend on their ability to adapt to mounting pressures.

  • Why Spanish bond markets are celebrating divergence from Italy download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    The country tackled its economic problems earlier than its Mediterranean counterpart.

  • Will a sweltering summer heat up interest in responsible investment? download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    After exceptionally high temperatures, drought, floods and wildfires, will this catalyse investment in strategies that target climate-related risks and opportunities?

  • How to access tech stocks in Europe download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    The US has “FAANGs” – major global technology brands that dominate the market – while Asia has “BATTs”.

  • Trade talk and Fed policy download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Recent changes to US trade policy mark a significant departure from the trend toward lower tariffs which has been in place since the 1930s.

  • An old-fashioned emerging markets crisis download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    The recent plunge in Turkey’s lira has once again put emerging markets at the forefront of investors’ minds.

  • Precarious protection: why trade tariffs won’t hold back the disruptors download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    Disruptive innovation is one of the defining trends of the 21st century.

  • October volatility: It’s about discount rates not cash flows download

    White papers 1 November 2018

    The recent move in markets has been savage, with major stock indices all deeply in the red.

  • UK equities: Mid-year Review download

    White papers 27 August 2018

    While UK equities had a more volatile first quarter, sterling weakness helped the FTSE 100 outperform the broader market.

  • European equities: Mid-year Review download

    White papers 27 August 2018

    Political risk in Europe bubbled up once more this year, with uncertainty in Italy and Germany.

  • US equities: Mid-year Review download

    White papers 27 August 2018

    The US entered the year on a high, but markets were unsettled by President Trump’s bout of protectionism in announcing an initial $50 billion of tariffs.

  • Asian equities: Mid-year Review download

    White papers 27 August 2018

    There was a correction across Asia Pacific ex Japan in the first half of the year, says Soo Nam Ng, despite solid economic growth.

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