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  • Flashforward: Drawing Parallels With 1999/2000 download

    White papers 7 August 2019

    Investors in the UK and overseas are adopting extreme positioning in their hunt for defensive growth. In doing so the elastic has become very stretched and a sharp rotation could be overdue. This market dynamic is reminiscent of 1999/2000 whereby ‘old economy’ stocks are discarded in favour of ‘new economy’ ones.

  • Some great companies and attractive valuations offer opportunities in Europe download

    White papers 21 March 2019

    Following strong performance in 2017, European markets retreated in 2018 – a sell-off that was markedly similar to the 2015-16 downturn, when industrials, miners, banks, commodities and emerging markets plummeted by 30% or more...

  • Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade download

    White papers 30 May 2018

    Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.

  • Daisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018 download

    White papers 13 March 2018

    With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.

  • Reaction: Italian election download

    White papers 7 March 2018

    The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.

  • Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance download

    White papers 17 January 2018

    US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.

  • The UK’s demise is overstated download

    White papers 17 January 2018

    UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.

  • Dynamic Asian fixed income market continues to drive strong returns download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    The Asian fixed income market has had a fantastic three-year total return performance.

  • South Korean equities shrug off concerns download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    A myriad of anxieties has failed to stem this year’s KOSPI surge and now investors are encouraged by a reform-minded new president.

  • Hong Kong faces an unstable future download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    China’s increasing control of Hong Kong’s political and economic activities raises concerns about the territory’s role as financial hub.

  • Thailand adapts to a new normal download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    The military government has ambitious plans to reshape the country’s economy as well as its constitution.

  • Is China’s economy turning Japanese? download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    Three decades after Tokyo’s property bubble burst, causing severe damage, there are fears that Beijing faces a similar fate.

  • Five reasons to hold technology stocks download

    White papers 3 August 2017

    Technology breakthroughs herald a new era in the way we live, work and relate to each other.

  • The beginning of India’s transformation download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Events in 2017 confirm that that India is at a turning point, with Narenda Modi’s reformist BJP party winning a sweeping victory in the state of Uttar Pradesh.

  • Argentina: the ‘emerging’ emerging market download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Despite not being upgraded to emerging market status this year, the outlook for Argentina remains positive.

  • Why the active vs. passive debate is largely moot for European insurers download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Insurance companies typically have reasonably static portfolios, which change little from year to year.

  • Putting clients first as Brexit begins download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    The Brexit negotiations will determine the shape of the UK’s future relationship with the European Union, setting out the structural framework within which asset managers and other businesses will need to operate.

  • Asset Allocation Update: UK earnings forecasts unchanged despite headwinds download

    White papers 22 June 2017

    Developments in the UK have led us to renew our focus on the region in recent weeks, amidst the start of Brexit negotiations and the general election.

  • Asset Allocation Monthly: May 2017 download

    White papers 1 June 2017

    We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.

  • The emerging markets cloud receding download

    White papers 1 June 2017

    As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.

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