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  • Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade download

    White papers 30 May 2018

    Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.

  • Reaction: Italian election download

    White papers 7 March 2018

    The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.

  • Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance download

    White papers 17 January 2018

    US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.

  • The UK’s demise is overstated download

    White papers 17 January 2018

    UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.

  • The beginning of India’s transformation download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Events in 2017 confirm that that India is at a turning point, with Narenda Modi’s reformist BJP party winning a sweeping victory in the state of Uttar Pradesh.

  • Argentina: the ‘emerging’ emerging market download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Despite not being upgraded to emerging market status this year, the outlook for Argentina remains positive.

  • Why the active vs. passive debate is largely moot for European insurers download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    Insurance companies typically have reasonably static portfolios, which change little from year to year.

  • Putting clients first as Brexit begins download

    White papers 18 July 2017

    The Brexit negotiations will determine the shape of the UK’s future relationship with the European Union, setting out the structural framework within which asset managers and other businesses will need to operate.

  • Asset Allocation Update: UK earnings forecasts unchanged despite headwinds download

    White papers 22 June 2017

    Developments in the UK have led us to renew our focus on the region in recent weeks, amidst the start of Brexit negotiations and the general election.

  • Asset Allocation Monthly: May 2017 download

    White papers 1 June 2017

    We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.

  • The emerging markets cloud receding download

    White papers 1 June 2017

    As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.

  • Trump unnerves Asia download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    The new US administration’s trade and foreign policy threatens to unsettle relations with Asia-Pacific nations. It is commonplace to say that the election of President Donald Trump has created uncertainty and nervousness among both US’s allies and its rivals.

  • Southeast Asia’s credit stability download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    Credit rating agencies are optimistic that  Southeast Asian countries will weather the fallout from developments in other regions. Southeast Asia appears vulnerable to several forces it can do little to control.

  • Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect opens for traffic download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    Offering a bridge for international investors accessing China’s ‘new economy’, policymakers are confident in Stock Connect’s future. China’s recent policy initiatives to attract international investors to its equities markets have struggled.

  • Indonesia’s reforms gather momentum download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    Jokowi’s administration is making progress and pleasing investors in a region troubled by political controversies. Expectations were high when Joko Widodo won Indonesia’s presidential election in 2014.

  • How China rules the waves download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    FT investigation: Beijing has spent billions expanding its ports network to secure sea lanes and establish itself as a maritime power. Pakistan’s Arabian Sea port of Gwadar is perched on the world’s energy jugular. Sea lanes nearby carry most of China’s oil imports; any  disruption could choke the world’s second-largest economy.

  • Asian fund passports’ slow progress download

    White papers 28 April 2017

    While passports are likely to accelerate growth in the  local fund industry, national interests are hindering their development.

  • Asset Allocation Monthly: March 2017 download

    White papers 31 March 2017

    Global equity markets are near all-time highs, bond markets are relatively calm, and currency volatility is reasonably low.

  • French elections: what to expect should Le Pen prevail download

    White papers 23 March 2017

    Mark Burgess looks at what a Le Pen presidency could mean for France, Europe and the broader global landscape and argues that the immediate reaction of markets is likely to be a spike in volatility for French assets due to the uncertainty of what is to come.

  • Tackling the ‘unknown unknowns’: how active managers manage unforeseen risks download

    White papers 23 March 2017

    The best active managers never resort to blaming events seemingly outside of their control for poor performance. Rather, they work harder to overcome such hurdles, listening to a wide range of views, inviting challenge and working closely with others to refine their process so as to retain that all-important edge.

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