Investors often ask themselves which factors should be implemented in different phases of the economic cycle.
The Investment Clock applies changes in economic growth and inflation expectations to create four economic cycles (Figure 1). As factors differ in their sensitivity to these macro indicators, tracking the clock through each of the four quadrants can guide factor rotation.
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The past five years in US markets have been nothing if not eventful. They’ve featured every macro regime of the economic cycle, where markets weathered a global pandemic, quantitative tightening and easing, inflation, and both low and rising rate environments.
Just 50 years ago, Taiwan was a labour-intensive manufacturing hub for cheap exports such as textiles and toys. In the 1980s, it successfully transformed into a vibrant advanced electronics manufacturing hub that continues to play an important role in the global technology shift of the past decade. Crucially, Taiwan has developed into one of the world’s most critical semiconductor manufacturing centres, and the semiconductor industry has become an inseparable component of Taiwan’s economic growth.
In 1984, FTSE Russell (at the time Russell Indexes) introduced the Russell 3000® Index, the first of its kind to provide institutional investors with a comprehensive, accurate and objective representation of the world’s largest and most liquid (US) equity market.
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