Blog | Not all yield-curve inversions are created equal

The inversion of a widely watched part of the US Treasury yield curve last week has rattled markets already nervous about slowing global growth. Such events warrant attention given their recession-predicting history. But the macro and monetary forces driving the recent inversion differ starkly from those in 2006, the first of such inversions preceding the last recession.

Understanding these differences matters for markets struggling to decipher what this signal is telling us.

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