Amundi Asset Management

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  • High Yield: Oasis In Search For Yield? download

    White papers 23 May 2019

    Since early 2016, US HY default rates have experienced a sort of “mini –cycle”, peaking at the end of 2016. Nevertheless, the recent rise and fall movements appear mostly commodity driven: default rates would have remained fairly stable if energy and material sectors were excluded from calculations.

  • US-China trade: continuing the talks while making the war download

    White papers 14 May 2019

    In our opinion, investors should dismiss the idea that talks could break down, albeit uncertainties remain. Recent work has focused on details and wording, with the majority of the agreement document having been completed. However, several major issues remain, and on these it is largely up to Trump and XI to make final decisions.

  • Economic Crisis And Political Risk Batter Argentina. Way Out Or Opportunity? download

    White papers 13 May 2019

    The economy is facing severe stagflation. Monetary and fiscal policy are extremely tight, consumer and investor confidence is low, and inflation is proving very sticky amidst wage indexation. Whilst we view the fiscal and monetary mix to be appropriate given Argentina’s macro challenges, it is possible that these measures may not be able to stabilise the economy in time for the elections.

  • Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2019 download

    White papers 10 May 2019

    This document includes the perspective of Amundi on asset returns used to build reference portfolios for our institutional clients. A publication issued annually in February covers the major macro and financial foundations of our views, while this one provides a quarterly update of our medium and long-term expected returns by asset class.

  • European Equities: What Impacts In The Event Of A Tariff War With The United States? download

    White papers 3 May 2019

    While the threat of a large-scale Sino-US tariff war appears to be receding, the US could now switch its focus to its trade deficits with the European Union. With this in mind, we wanted to find out which European equities, in terms of country, sector or individual companies, would be hardest hit by a trade conflict.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2019 download

    White papers 2 May 2019

    Equity markets have remained buoyant in recent weeks: the S&P 500 is trending towards an all-time high, the European equity market (STOXX 600) is close to last year’s peak and the performances of emerging markets have also been very strong.

  • Who Will Lead The World Economy? download

    White papers 2 May 2019

    When we talk about leadership, we also talk about rivalry… and 2018 was undoubtedly a particularly emblematic year of rivalry, especially between the United States and China, and to some extent, between the United States and Europe.

  • Spain: Forming A Coalition Will Take Time, But The Picture Looks Benign For Investors download

    White papers 1 May 2019

    The outcome: The ruling Socialist Party of Pedro Sánchez came first, however without an absolute majority in Parliament. The new, far-right, VOX party also entered Parliament.

  • Is Inflation Definitely Dead Or Simply Dormant? Consequences For Central Banks download

    White papers 30 April 2019

    Inflation never disappears completely. In history, there have been periods when it was dormant, but revivals have always been painful. What is striking at present is the inability of some countries to boost inflation despite low rates, liquidity injection programs… The BoJ and the ECB have made the bet (losing for the moment) that a ultra-accommodative monetary policy would quickly translate into a rise in inflation rates, while the Fed has opted for a “friendly” normalization of its ...

  • Emerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2018 download

    White papers 29 April 2019

    In October 2018, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) urged the world to intensify its efforts to combat climate change by meeting the goal of the 2016 Paris Agreement to limit global temperature increases to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

  • Global Asset Class Spotlights - Top Down Quarterly Assessment download

    White papers 29 April 2019

    Growth, monetary policies and geopolitics remain the key drivers of market returns and investment decisions, with their relative influence changing over time. The YTD revival of risk assets has translated into rosier expectations on growth. We remain cautious; we confirm the late cycle environment with extra dovish central banks and growth stabilisation ahead, as our economists are predicting. However, we also look towards the reporting season to confirm the solidity of corporates’ ...

  • Global Investment Views - May 2019 download

    White papers 25 April 2019

    Equity markets have remained buoyant in recent weeks: the S&P 500 is trending towards an all-time high, the European equity market (STOXX 600) is close to last year’s peak and the performances of emerging markets have also been very strong.

  • Italy: no short-term confrontation with the EU, but uncertainty in the mid-term. download

    White papers 24 April 2019

    In the new forecasts for the 2020 budget and beyond from the Italian government (from the latest economic blueprint, of 9 April: “The Stability and Growth Path, SGP”), its economic projections come much closer to consensus than previous ones, pointing to weaker GDP growth.

  • Economic Modeling Of Climate Risks download

    White papers 18 April 2019

    Climate change is a subject that has been largely addressed from both macroeconomic and energetic standpoints. Integration of climate variables and natural capital into the traditional economic framework can appear conflicting with the notion of infinitely growing economies exploiting finite resources, which questions the sustainability of neoclassic economic growth models.

  • Eurozone a mere dip or a sustained slowdown? download

    White papers 5 April 2019

    After a long series of disappointments in 2018, euro zone economic figures have remained very mixed so far in 2019. However, the situation should improve over the coming quarters, thanks to a combination of robust household income, heavy fiscal support, and global trade that is a little weaker than it has been in recent months.

  • Traditional and Alternative Factors in Investment Grade Corporate Bond Investing download

    White papers 5 April 2019

    While the concept of factor investing has gained significant traction since the 2000s with the consequence of altering the landscape of equity investing, factor investing in fixed income remains in its infancy.

  • Persistence And Skill In The Performance Of Mutual Fund Families download

    White papers 26 March 2019

    Prior research has shown that decisions made at fund family level can account for a substantial portion of the performance of the individual active fund managers in the family.

  • Optimal Allocation in the S&P 600 under Size-Driven Illiquidity download

    White papers 26 March 2019

    A number of empirical studies have investigated how mutual funds do react to incoming financial resources. As long as liquidity constraints are narrow, fund managers tend to upscale already existing positions without looking for new investment opportunities.

  • Global Investment Views: A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side download

    White papers 25 March 2019

    Risky assets have been in a very strong uptrend since the beginning of the year. The key question now is, where do we go from here? There are two main driving forces to focus on in the current context.

  • Global Investment Views - April 2019 download

    White papers 25 March 2019

    A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side...

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