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With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.
This month, we present the main issues and scenarios relating to French presidential and legislative elections, as well as the most likely market impacts.
As 2017 begins, it is helpful to take stock of the key issues coming into focus.
In an ultra-low or even negative interest rate environment, maintaining an overweight stance in emerging market assets (equities, debt and currencies), in credit (vs. government bonds) still makes sense, while continuing our search for yield and spreads.