Amundi Asset Management

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  • Gold in Central Banks’ Asset Allocation download

    White papers 15 March 2019

    After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.

  • Q1 2019 - Global Asset Class Spotlights: Top Down Quarterly Assessment download

    White papers 13 March 2019

    The combination of monetary policy stances (more patient and flexible everywhere), encouraging tariff negotiations, Chinese authorities proving successful in their resolution to support the economic cycle are all potential triggers (and risks when mirrored) to risk assets and might help produce a positive short lasting reaction.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2019 download

    White papers 13 March 2019

    If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed. The year started on strong footing and risk assets experienced a massive rebound in the first weeks of 2019, erasing most of the losses experienced in one of the most awful Decembers in history. As a result some valuation gaps have been closed somewhat, though not exhausted. Markets switched rapidly from a “fear” to a “greed” mood. Catalysts of the renewed ...

  • H1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility download

    White papers 13 March 2019

    Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.

  • Brexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in download

    White papers 12 March 2019

    Developments and scenarios ahead: This is probably the most decisive week for Brexit and the situation is still rapidly evolving. Last night, Mrs. May and Mr. Juncker announced an agreement on the most controversial part of the Brexit deal: the Irish border backstop. This agreement is aimed at getting the U.K. Parliament to accept the Brexit deal previously rejected in January.

  • Financial Applications of Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Optimization download

    White papers 11 March 2019

    In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and Bayesian optimization. Gaussian processes can be seen as a generalization of Gaussian random vectors and are associated with the development of kernel methods.

  • A dovish ECB, a little relief for the banking sector download

    White papers 8 March 2019

    The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a new series of TLTROs starting in September 2019 and changed its forward guidance, with a commitment not to hike rates this year.

  • Asset Class Views: Medium and Long Term Expected Returns download

    White papers 28 February 2019

    We break down asset class dynamics into a long term component (or trend/fair value), mainly related to macroeconomic variables and a medium-term component, explained by economic and financial cycles.

  • How investors should deal with the liquidity dilemma download

    White papers 27 February 2019

    The paradox of liquidity (it dries up when most needed) remains one of the key challenges for investors on the aftermath of the great fi nancial crisis and it is resurfacing in this late financial cycle phase.

  • Global Investment Views – March 2019 download

    White papers 27 February 2019

    If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed.

  • China more appealing based on progress in trade negotiations download

    White papers 7 February 2019

    The recent statements following the bilateral meetings between the US and China suggest that important progress has been made, and more details are emerging compared to the quiet early January round.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2019 download

    White papers 1 February 2019

    After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.

  • Cross-Asset Investment Strategy: Is Turkey really out of the woods? download

    White papers 1 February 2019

    After having narrowly escaped a balance of payments crisis last spring, there are questions surrounding the Turkish economy, not to mention the many (geo)political tensions. Throughout this period, the currency has continued to experience strong downward pressures, leading to a surge in inflation. Recently, the markets seem to be recovering hope.

  • Investing in the Low-Carbon Economy download

    White papers 1 February 2019

    Private capital has never been given such an important role in tackling climate change and de- carbonising the economy. As Philippe Le Houérou, CEO of International Finance Corporation (IFC), says, the private sector “holds the key,” noting that it “has the innovation, the financing and the tools.

  • Time to increase risk exposure: start with emerging markets and credit download

    White papers 29 January 2019

    The excess of pessimism at the end of 2018 resulted in a sharp decline in financial markets and renewed volatility. According to our analysis, market participants priced in twice the slowdown risk that economic fundamentals justified.

  • Global Investment Views - February 2019 download

    White papers 23 January 2019

    After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.

  • Brexit Deal Voted Down: What Happens Now? download

    White papers 17 January 2019

    Developments and scenarios ahead: The Brexit deal defeat in Parliament was expected, but the size of the loss was not – the result of 432 votes against versus 202 for was quite a surprise. In light of the larger-than-expected scale of the defeat, we have revised upward the probability of a no-deal Brexit (20% vs. 15% previously).

  • Investment Perspectives For A New Regime Of Returns download

    White papers 14 January 2019

    After two years of positive performance across the board, with almost no asset class in negative territory, 2018 is marking a change of direction, with an unprecedented percentage of asset classes in red. This may cause a sense of uncertainty among investors facing uncharted waters ahead.

  • The Alpha And Beta Of ESG Investing download

    White papers 14 January 2019

    With the rising awareness around ESG issues worldwide, institutional investors have started to massively look into responsible investment. The latter has grown substantially in Europe and in North America in the past 5 years.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019 download

    White papers 9 January 2019

    Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas: 1. From economic deceleration to where?  2. Fed pausing or continuing rate rises? 3. EMs: perfect storm or a recovery story?

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