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In the early months of 2018, economic fundamentals are supportive of another solid year of real estate performance. But monetary conditions are tightening and our central preoccupation persists: how will this affect the risk premium for real estate?
Since the beginning of 2016 global capital and financial markets have been on a roller coaster. On the back of slowing economic growth in Emerging Markets (EM) many European sentiment surveys moved southward, suggesting a slowdown in European economic activity as well.
Although the European economy continues to face significant headwinds, these are predominantly from external forces and a tentative recovery in the domestic economy actually drove economic growth above people’s expectations in 2015.
The economies of the various eurozone countries are still moving in different directions, with the recovery being mainly driven by the Austrian, Belgium and German economies and the re-emergence of the Spanish economy out of recession.