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  • Perfect storm lifts US treasuries weblink

    White papers 6 December 2018

    US treasuries have had somewhat of a rollercoaster ride these past few weeks. A combination of political volatility in Britain, Italy and France, global growth concerns and a cooling China, falling oil prices, stretched positioning and poor December liquidity have led to a sell-off in risky assets.

  • As the BOJ stealthily normalises, the yen will follow weblink

    White papers 31 October 2018

    The BOJ appears to be stealthily normalising while keeping rates extremely low. But small steps for Japan’s central bank could be big steps for its currency.

  • Italy budget: The fight has only just begun weblink

    White papers 24 October 2018

    The market has punished Italian equities and government bonds for the country’s debt-laden budget. The bond market, in particular, is pricing in a very negative outlook, and we expect more volatility as negotiations with the European Commission continue.

  • The Italian government surprises markets with plan to increase budget deficit weblink

    White papers 28 September 2018

    The “benign” outcome that we and the market expected did not materialise as the Italian government threw down a gauntlet to the European Commission by announcing a spending-prone budget that defied expectations. European investment grade could provide solace in the volatile months ahead.

  • On the run: The rise and fall of BTPs weblink

    White papers 22 May 2018

    The price movements of Italian Government securities in the past week have demonstrated once again that financial markets can change rapidly.