Amundi Asset Management

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  • Italy: A Long And Winding Road download

    White papers 4 July 2019

    Arm-wrestling within the Italian government and between Italy and Brussels to find a solution to the Italian budget and avoid the Excessive Deficit Procedure. After Italy’s exit from a technical recession in H2 2018, economic data are still pointing to weakness, and many risks loom in the second half of this year.

  • Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - July 2019 download

    White papers 4 July 2019

    Risk FactorsThe table within the article presents risk factors with judgmental probabilities (i.e. not market based). It also develops the possible market impacts.  Macroeconomic Context - Our convictions and our scenariosThis section provides a reminder of our central scenario and alternative scenarios Macroeconomic picture by areaAn overview of the macroeconomic outlook for world’s major economic regions...

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - July 2019 download

    White papers 4 July 2019

    CIO Views: Central Banks Fuel markets: Illusion vs Reality  This Month’s Topic: Italy: A Long and Winding Road...

  • G20: Market Relief, Eyes Now On Central Bank's Execution download

    White papers 3 July 2019

    The worst case scenario of further trade escalation has been averted. The G20 meeting over the weekend resumed the negotiations between China and US on trade, after the tariffs increase in May on$200bn of Chinese products, and the consequent Chinese retaliation,which both put financial markets under pressure and increased downside risk to the economic outlook.

  • How to differentiate emerging countries? New Approaches For Classification And Typology download

    White papers 1 July 2019

    Once accepted the idea that the emerging world may behave like a block in period of crises (as the group of advanced countries also does), one must wonder whether one should go beyond that and consider that the emerging world deserves better: the wide divergence between countries, the health of some countries (sometimes better than some advanced countries) simply mean that it does not make sense to view the “emerging world” as a whole, as a block, but as well-defined, specific and homogeneous ..

  • Emerging Markets: Vulnerability And Contagion Risks... Fragile Vs. Anti-Fragile Countries download

    White papers 1 July 2019

    This article is aimed at analysing contagion within the emerging world in the past decades, and at presenting investment strategies to limit negative effects of contagion and / or to benefit from it.

  • Fixed Income strategies: Bridging the gap between quantitative and fundamental approaches download

    White papers 1 July 2019

    Bonds market faced low rates since many years. And they probably won’t rise up soon.

  • Global Investment Views - July 2019 download

    White papers 26 June 2019

    The journey from market complacency to awareness of fragilities is in full swing, and the market correction in May is part of that, as is the recent recovery fuelled by dovish Central Banks (CB). Aware investors should recognise that the late cycle phase and mature market trends require improving fundamentals and positive political events to deliver sustainable uptrends in risk assets.

  • Turkey: Inflation, Exchange Rate’s Pass-Through And Monetary Policy download

    White papers 25 June 2019

    Despite a huge collapse in activity, the Turkish inflation is still flirting with 20% yoy and the main monetary policy rate is stuck at 24% for 8 months.

  • Factor Investing In Currency Markets: Does It Make Sense? download

    White papers 24 June 2019

    The concept of factor investing emerged at the end of the 2000s and has completely changed the landscape of equity investing. Today, institutional investors structure their strategic asset allocation around five risk factors: size, value, low beta, momentum and quality.

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