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  • Brexit Muddle-Through Towards The Approaching The Confidence Vote download

    White papers 8 January 2019

    The newsflow concerning Brexit has been quite intense since the UK government was able to secure an agreement with the EU on 25 November 2018. The most notable developments have been: 4 December: The “Grieve” amendment, giving MPs more influence regarding the Brexit process if a Brexit deal is voted down. 10 December: The decision of the UK government to postpone the ratification of the deal by the UK Parliament as it was bound to fail by a very large margin (a ...

  • Focus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets download

    White papers 3 January 2019

    Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:...

  • From Risk to Opportunity: Amundi is Leading a Sea-Change in Asset Management download

    White papers 1 January 2019

    Amundi is establishing industry-leading best practices to meet the needs of its clients with a finance for today, and tomorrow.

  • Central banks in focus: assessing the path ahead for the Fed download

    White papers 31 December 2018

    US economy: We expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2019 and to gradually converge to its long-term growth rate of around 2% in 2020 as the boost provided by fiscal expansion in 2018 will gradually lose steam.

  • European Asset -And Mortgage- Back Securities Ten Years On weblink

    White papers 14 December 2018

    How do the European asset- and mortgage-backed securities fare today a decade after the financial crisis they have been incriminated in? We make an assessment of the asset class, comparing today’s market conditions with those of ten years ago.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2018 weblink

    White papers 13 December 2018

    This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.

  • Why Investors Should Care About French “Yellow Vests” Protest weblink

    White papers 12 December 2018

    The Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) are a largely spontaneous protest movement that emerged in France, in October. With no declared political affiliation, they called for lower taxes and a higher level of social transfers and public services.

  • Cross Asset Investment Strategy Special Edition: Outlook 2019 weblink

    White papers 6 December 2018

    With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.

  • Rocky Road For The European Union: Pension Plans' Response weblink

    White papers 4 December 2018

    Cyclical recovery or secular healing?

  • From G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes weblink

    White papers 3 December 2018

    The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.

  • Global Investment Views: December 2018 weblink

    White papers 28 November 2018

    This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.

  • Global Trade War: Where Do we Stand Now? What Impacts? weblink

    White papers 28 November 2018

    A few days before the important meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it is important to have a clear view on the trade dispute between the two countries and on the potential impacts of a trade war.

  • Brexit: Where do we stand and what should investors expect? weblink

    White papers 26 November 2018

    Where we stand and possible scenarios ahead: After the EU approval of Brexit deal, we are going to pass through some tough times until the UK parliamentary vote on Brexit Withdrawal Agreement in December.

  • Italy moves towards an Excessive Deficit Procedure, but a change of attitude is in the air weblink

    White papers 26 November 2018

    This large and unprecedented deliberate breach of the so-called “preventive arm” measures therefore calls for moving Italy into the “corrective arm” of the Stability and Growth Pact.

  • Morocco: moderate economic risks weblink

    White papers 15 November 2018

    Growth is expected to slow down compared to 2017 but should stabilise at around 3% this year and in 2019.

  • What lies ahead for the US economy and markets? weblink

    White papers 14 November 2018

    The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.

  • US Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios weblink

    White papers 7 November 2018

    Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.

  • Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018 weblink

    White papers 6 November 2018

    We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.

  • Central European countries: Outlook to 2020 weblink

    White papers 6 November 2018

    Global growth resynchronised in 2017. In this particularly bullish environment, Central European countries “outperformed” with growth rates of between 4% and 6%.

  • Brazilian elections: lights and shadows on the horizon weblink

    White papers 31 October 2018

    The expected outcome of the presidential election occurred, with right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro winning vs the leftist Fernando Haddad.

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